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Friday, August 29, 2008

BCS Predictions

If you'd ever been to Las Vegas with me, you'd know two things:

1.) I love games of chance, and...

2.) I'm really bad at games of chance.

So, obviously nothing brings me greater joy than making absurd predictions for the upcoming season. Please feel free to argue with them, explain why I'm an idiot or, in a very rare occasion, pat me on the back for a minor stroke of genius. Just remember, I have no more faith in these picks than you do.

National Title: Georgia vs. Oklahoma. Maybe I'm just a crazy, hopeless romantic, but I'd like to see the two best teams from the two best conferences play for a national championship. This year, I think that's the Dawgs and Sooners.

Rose Bowl: Arizona State vs. Ohio State. I think USC tops Ohio State in their Week 3 showdown, effectively ending the Buckeyes national championship dreams (unless every other team has two losses, which I suppose is possible after last year), but I'm not so sure USC runs through the Pac-10, which opens the door for Arizona State. I have zero confidence in this prediction, though.

Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Wisconsin. I've been looking for another team to pick in the ACC, but there just isn't one. I don't think the Tigers will be one of the 10 best teams at season's end, but they will be the best the ACC has to offer. Wisconsin gets this year's Ron Zook Memorial They-Didn't-Deserve-To-Be-Here-But-They-Play-In-The-Overhyped-Big-Ten nomination.

Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. West Virginia. I know I'm probably crazy, but I like Alabama to win the SEC West this year. The Tide could be like Tennessee last season, where an SEC title game didn't put them in a BCS contest, but I think the money involved makes Bama a clear choice for this game if it wins its division.

Fiesta Bowl: Missouri vs. Southern Cal. The battle of the runners-up. I think Missouri will be strong this year, but the Big 12 is awfully deep, and I like Oklahoma just a bit better. The Trojans will drop two games -- same as last year -- but earn a trip to a BCS game anyway.

Heisman Winner: Chase Daniel, Missouri. Apologies to Knowshon, but Heisman voters love quarterbacks.

So, what do you think? On a scale of one to 10, how dumb am I? What are your predictions? Will we see another two-loss team playing for a title or is someone going undefeated? Who am I missing? Who doesn't belong?


Anonymous said...

Forgot your bout Lou holtz on College Football Live last night picking SC to win the East...hahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That old fart is insane now. He used to be funny.


Anonymous said...

i hope you misspelled genius on purpose

Dog44 said...

I'd love to pick the Dogs to be in the big game. But here's my logic: The best we can realistically expect the Bulldogs to do with this schedule is 11-1 (and that would be quite an accomplishment). Many assume that if they have only 1 loss and win the SEC Championship they'll be in the national championship game. But this year you've got at least two teams with a strong shot at going undefeated (Oklahoma and the winner of OH St. / USC) based on their schedules this year. If there are two perennial powers undefeated at the end of the season, the Dogs will never see Miami, no matter how good they are.

We have to hope that Georgia can manage the schedule with only one loss (which I find a bit unlikely) and that there will be only one team (or 0) from the BCS conferences that go undefeated. Could happen... but I think OK vs. either OH ST. or USC is a better bet.

As for the Heisman, if UGA plays in the national championship game then it means that either/both Stafford or Moreno had a tremendous year and it wouldn't surprise me to see one of them above Chase Daniel. (My prediction is that by the end of the year Stafford will be UGA's best shot at a Heisman.)